|
Poland |
Hong Kong SAR (China) |
Economy - overview |
Poland has the sixth-largest economy in the EU and has long had a reputation as a business-friendly country with largely sound macroeconomic policies. Since 1990, Poland has pursued a policy of economic liberalization. During the 2008-09 economic slowdown Poland was the only EU country to avoid a recession, in part because of the government’s loose fiscal policy combined with a commitment to rein in spending in the medium-term Poland is the largest recipient of EU development funds and their cyclical allocation can significantly impact the rate of economic growth. The Polish economy performed well during the 2014-17 period, with the real GDP growth rate generally exceeding 3%, in part because of increases in government social spending that have helped to accelerate consumer-driven growth. However, since 2015, Poland has implemented new business restrictions and taxes on foreign-dominated economic sectors, including banking and insurance, energy, and healthcare, that have dampened investor sentiment and has increased the government’s ownership of some firms. The government reduced the retirement age in 2016 and has had mixed success in introducing new taxes and boosting tax compliance to offset the increased costs of social spending programs and relieve upward pressure on the budget deficit. Some credit ratings agencies estimate that Poland during the next few years is at risk of exceeding the EU’s 3%-of-GDP limit on budget deficits, possibly impacting its access to future EU funds. Poland’s economy is projected to perform well in the next few years in part because of an anticipated cyclical increase in the use of its EU development funds and continued, robust household spending. Poland faces several systemic challenges, which include addressing some of the remaining deficiencies in its road and rail infrastructure, business environment, rigid labor code, commercial court system, government red tape, and burdensome tax system, especially for entrepreneurs. Additional long-term challenges include diversifying Poland’s energy mix, strengthening investments in innovation, research, and development, as well as stemming the outflow of educated young Poles to other EU member states, especially in light of a coming demographic contraction due to emigration, persistently low fertility rates, and the aging of the Solidarity-era baby boom generation. |
Hong Kong has a free market economy, highly dependent on international trade and finance - the value of goods and services trade, including the sizable share of reexports, is about four times GDP. Hong Kong has no tariffs on imported goods, and it levies excise duties on only four commodities, whether imported or produced locally: hard alcohol, tobacco, hydrocarbon oil, and methyl alcohol. There are no quotas or dumping laws. Hong Kong continues to link its currency closely to the US dollar, maintaining an arrangement established in 1983. Excess liquidity, low interest rates and a tight housing supply have caused Hong Kong property prices to rise rapidly. The lower and middle-income segments of the population increasingly find housing unaffordable. Hong Kong's open economy has left it exposed to the global economic situation. Its continued reliance on foreign trade and investment makes it vulnerable to renewed global financial market volatility or a slowdown in the global economy. The mainland has long been Hong Kong's largest trading partner, accounting for about half of Hong Kong's total trade by value. Hong Kong's natural resources are limited, and food and raw materials must be imported. As a result of China's easing of travel restrictions, the number of mainland tourists to the territory surged from 4.5 million in 2001 to 47.3 million in 2014, outnumbering visitors from all other countries combined. After peaking in 2014, overall tourist arrivals dropped 2.5% in 2015 and 4.5% in 2016. The tourism sector rebounded in 2017, with visitor arrivals rising 3.2% to 58.47 million. Travelers from Mainland China totaled 44.45 million, accounting for 76% of the total. The Hong Kong Government is promoting the Special Administrative Region (SAR) as the preferred business hub for renminbi (RMB) internationalization. Hong Kong residents are allowed to establish RMB-denominated savings accounts, RMB-denominated corporate and Chinese government bonds have been issued in Hong Kong, RMB trade settlement is allowed, and investment schemes such as the Renminbi Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (RQFII) Program was first launched in Hong Kong. Offshore RMB activities experienced a setback, however, after the People’s Bank of China changed the way it set the central parity rate in August 2015. RMB deposits in Hong Kong fell from 1.0 trillion RMB at the end of 2014 to 559 billion RMB at the end of 2017, while RMB trade settlement handled by banks in Hong Kong also shrank from 6.8 trillion RMB in 2015 to 3.9 trillion RMB in 2017. Hong Kong has also established itself as the premier stock market for Chinese firms seeking to list abroad. In 2015, mainland Chinese companies constituted about 50% of the firms listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and accounted for about 66% of the exchange's market capitalization. During the past decade, as Hong Kong's manufacturing industry moved to the mainland, its service industry has grown rapidly. In 2014, Hong Kong and China signed a new agreement on achieving basic liberalization of trade in services in Guangdong Province under the Closer Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), adopted in 2003 to forge closer ties between Hong Kong and the mainland. The new measures, which took effect in March 2015, cover a negative list and a most-favored treatment provision. On the basis of the Guangdong Agreement, the Agreement on Trade in Services signed in November 2015 further enhanced liberalization, including extending the implementation of the majority of Guangdong pilot liberalization measures to the whole Mainland, reducing the restrictive measures in the negative list, and adding measures in the positive lists for cross-border services as well as cultural and telecommunications services. In June 2017, the Investment Agreement and the Agreement on Economic and Technical Cooperation (Ecotech Agreement) were signed under the framework of CEPA. Hong Kong’s economic integration with the mainland continues to be most evident in the banking and finance sector. Initiatives like the Hong Kong-Shanghai Stock Connect, the Hong Kong- Shenzhen Stock Connect the Mutual Recognition of Funds, and the Bond Connect scheme are all important steps towards opening up the Mainland’s capital markets and have reinforced Hong Kong’s role as China’s leading offshore RMB market. Additional connect schemes such as ETF Connect (for exchange-traded fund products) are also under exploration by Hong Kong authorities. In 2017, Chief Executive Carrie LAM announced plans to increase government spending on research and development, education, and technological innovation with the aim of spurring continued economic growth through greater sector diversification. |
GDP (purchasing power parity) |
$1.111 trillion (2017 est.) $1.07 trillion (2016 est.) $1.042 trillion (2015 est.) note: data are in 2017 dollars country comparison to the world: 25 |
$453 billion (2017 est.) $437.5 billion (2016 est.) $428.8 billion (2015 est.) note: data are in 2017 dollars country comparison to the world: 44 |
GDP (official exchange rate) |
$510 billion (2017 est.) |
$334.1 billion (2017 est.) |
GDP - real growth rate |
3.8% (2017 est.) 2.6% (2016 est.) 3.9% (2015 est.) country comparison to the world: 78 |
3.5% (2017 est.) 2% (2016 est.) 2.4% (2015 est.) country comparison to the world: 89 |
GDP - per capita (PPP) |
$29,300 (2017 est.) $28,200 (2016 est.) $27,400 (2015 est.) note: data are in 2017 dollars country comparison to the world: 66 |
$61,000 (2017 est.) $59,400 (2016 est.) $58,700 (2015 est.) note: data are in 2017 dollars country comparison to the world: 18 |
Gross national saving |
19% of GDP (2017 est.) 19.4% of GDP (2016 est.) 19.9% of GDP (2015 est.) country comparison to the world: 96 |
24.9% of GDP (2017 est.) 26.4% of GDP (2016 est.) 24.9% of GDP (2015 est.) country comparison to the world: 52 |
GDP - composition, by end use |
household consumption: 58.8% government consumption: 18.1% investment in fixed capital: 17.8% investment in inventories: 0.8% exports of goods and services: 56.2% imports of goods and services: -51.8% (2017 est.) |
household consumption: 66.6% government consumption: 10% investment in fixed capital: 22.3% investment in inventories: 0.7% exports of goods and services: 191.9% imports of goods and services: -191.3% (2017 est.) |
GDP - composition, by sector of origin |
agriculture: 2.4% industry: 40.2% services: 64.3% (2017 est.) |
agriculture: 0.1% industry: 7.2% services: 92.7% (2017 est.) |
Agriculture - products |
potatoes, fruits, vegetables, wheat; poultry, eggs, pork, dairy |
fresh vegetables and fruit; poultry, pork; fish |
Industries |
machine building, iron and steel, coal mining, chemicals, shipbuilding, food processing, glass, beverages, textiles |
trading and logistics, financial services, professional services, tourism, cultural and creative, clothing and textiles, shipping, electronics, toys, clocks and watches |
Industrial production growth rate |
4.2% (2017 est.) country comparison to the world: 64 |
3% (2017 est.) country comparison to the world: 103 |
Labor force |
17.6 million (2017 est.) country comparison to the world: 37 |
3.965 million (2017 est.) country comparison to the world: 95 |
Labor force - by occupation |
agriculture: 11.5% industry: 30.4% services: 57.6% (2015 est.) |
manufacturing: 3.8% construction: 2.8% wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels: 53.3% financing, insurance, and real estate: 12.5% transport and communications: 10.1% community and social services: 17.1% note: above data exclude public sector (2013 est.) |
Unemployment rate |
4.8% (2017 est.) 6.2% (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 65 |
2.6% (2017 est.) 2.7% (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 24 |
Population below poverty line |
17.6% (2015 est.) |
19.6% (2012 est.) |
Household income or consumption by percentage share |
lowest 10%: 3% highest 10%: 23.9% (2015 est.) |
lowest 10%: NA% highest 10%: NA% |
Distribution of family income - Gini index |
30.8 (2015 est.) 33.7 (2008 est.) country comparison to the world: 126 |
53.7 (2011 est.) 53.3 (2007 est.) country comparison to the world: 9 |
Budget |
revenues: $90.8 billion expenditures: $102.2 billion (2017 est.) |
revenues: $66.19 billion expenditures: $62.86 billion (2017 est.) |
Taxes and other revenues |
17.8% of GDP (2017 est.) country comparison to the world: 171 |
19.8% of GDP (2017 est.) country comparison to the world: 155 |
Budget surplus (+) or deficit (-) |
-2.2% of GDP (2017 est.) country comparison to the world: 93 |
1% of GDP (2017 est.) country comparison to the world: 15 |
Public debt |
46.2% of GDP (2017 est.) 48.4% of GDP (2016 est.) note: data cover general government debt, and includes debt instruments issued (or owned) by government entities other than the treasury; the data include treasury debt held by foreign entities, the data include subnational entities, as well as intra-governmental debt; intra-governmental debt consists of treasury borrowings from surpluses in the social funds, such as for retirement, medical care, and unemployment; debt instruments for the social funds are not sold at public auctions country comparison to the world: 115 |
43.6% of GDP (2017 est.) 44.8% of GDP (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 122 |
Fiscal year |
calendar year |
1 April - 31 March |
Inflation rate (consumer prices) |
1.9% (2017 est.) -0.6% (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 87 |
2% (2017 est.) 2.6% (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 93 |
Central bank discount rate |
1.5% (31 December 2017 est.) 2% (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 123 |
0.5% (31 December 2013 est.) 0.5% (31 December 2012 est.) country comparison to the world: 133 |
Commercial bank prime lending rate |
4.8% (31 December 2017 est.) 4.74% (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 148 |
5.1% (31 December 2017 est.) 5% (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 144 |
Stock of narrow money |
$255.1 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $195.1 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 21 |
$310.3 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $285.5 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 17 |
Stock of broad money |
$374.2 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $300.6 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 30 |
$1.736 trillion (31 December 2017 est.) $1.613 trillion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 10 |
Stock of domestic credit |
$413.8 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $336.7 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 31 |
$719.2 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $676.5 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 22 |
Market value of publicly traded shares |
$261.5 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $277.4 billion (31 December 2016 est.) $351.7 billion (31 December 2015 est.) country comparison to the world: 30 |
$3.185 trillion (31 December 2015 est.) $3.233 trillion (31 December 2014 est.) $3.101 trillion (31 December 2013 est.) country comparison to the world: 5 |
Current account balance |
$-4.958 billion (2017 est.) $-959 million (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 175 |
$10.06 billion (2017 est.) $14.88 billion (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 21 |
Exports |
$221.4 billion (2017 est.) $195.7 billion (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 26 |
$540 billion (2017 est.) $502.5 billion (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 8 |
Exports - commodities |
machinery and transport equipment 37.8%, intermediate manufactured goods 23.7%, miscellaneous manufactured goods 17.1%, food and live animals 7.6% (2012 est.) |
electrical machinery and appliances, textiles, apparel, watches and clocks, toys, "jewelry, goldsmiths' and silversmiths' wares, and other articles of precious or semi-precious materials"; Hong Kong plays an important role as entrep?t to the Chinese mainland; in 2017, 58% of Hong Kong’s re-exports originated in mainland China, and 54% were destined for the Chinese mainland |
Exports - partners |
Germany 27.3%, UK 6.6%, Czech Republic 6.6%, France 5.4%, Italy 4.8%, Netherlands 4.5% (2016) |
China 54.3%, US 8.5%, India 4.1% (2016) |
Imports |
$221.8 billion (2017 est.) $193.6 billion (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 21 |
$561.4 billion (2017 est.) $520.1 billion (2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 8 |
Imports - commodities |
machinery and transport equipment 38%, intermediate manufactured goods 21%, chemicals 15%, minerals, fuels, lubricants, and related materials 9% (2011 est.) |
raw materials and semi-manufactures, consumer goods, capital goods, foodstuffs, fuel (most is reexported) |
Imports - partners |
Germany 28.3%, China 7.9%, Netherlands 6%, Russia 5.8%, Italy 5.3%, France 4.2%, Czech Republic 4.1% (2016) |
China 45.5%, Taiwan 9.8%, South Korea 6.7%, Japan 6.3%, US 4.4% (2016) |
Reserves of foreign exchange and gold |
$115 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $114.4 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 23 |
$398.3 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $386.3 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 9 |
Debt - external |
$362 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $347.8 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 32 |
$494.5 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $505.9 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 23 |
Stock of direct foreign investment - at home |
$235.7 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $224.5 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 27 |
$1.901 trillion (31 December 2017 est.) $1.786 trillion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 5 |
Stock of direct foreign investment - abroad |
$68.22 billion (31 December 2017 est.) $64.52 billion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 39 |
$1.806 trillion (31 December 2017 est.) $1.723 trillion (31 December 2016 est.) country comparison to the world: 5 |
Exchange rates |
zlotych (PLN) per US dollar - 3.75 (2017 est.) 3.95 (2016 est.) 3.95 (2015 est.) 3.77 (2014 est.) 3.15 (2013 est.) |
Hong Kong dollars (HKD) per US dollar - 7.8 (2017 est.) 7.76 (2016 est.) 7.76 (2015 est.) 7.75 (2014 est.) 7.75 (2013 est.) |